Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe: How favourites usually cope with heavy going

This year the ground will ease considerably given the recent rains in the Parisian region. Will this have a bearing on the outcome of the 2020 edition of the Qatar Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe? Furthermore, is this factor likely to count against the favourite Enable?

To ascertain this, you need to study the results of the 11 editions of a race, considered the world championship of horse racing, which have been run on sticky, heavy or very heavy ground, since 1990.

In the vast majority of cases (8 from 11), the favourite has performed well by either finishing first or second. This was the case with Enable last year ...

 Year      Going           Winner            Sex/Age    Draw   Field   Time        Favourite (outcome)

1992     Heavy           Subotica          C4            14        18        2'39''        User Friendly (2^nd)

1993     Sticky           Urban Sea       F4            9          23        2'37''90    Hernando (16^th)

1995     Heavy           Lammtarra      C3            7          16        2'31''80    Lammtarra (1^st)

1998     Heavy           Sagamix          C3            7          14        2'34'50     Sagamix (1^st)

1999     Very heavy   Montjeu          C3            4          14        2'38''50    Montjeu (1^st)

2001     Sticky           Sakhee            C4            15        17        2'36''10    Sakhee (1^st)

2003     Sticky           Dalakhani       C3            14        13        2'32''30    Dalakhani (1^st)

2010     Heavy           Workforce      C3            8          19        2'35''30    Bekhabad (4^th)

2012     Sticky           Solemia          F4            6          18        2'37''60    Camelot (7^th)

2013     Heavy           Treve              F3            15        17        2'32''        Orfevre (2^nd)

2019     Heavy           Waldgeist       H5            9          12        2'31""90  Enable (2^nd)